For one reason or another I've been thinking about the future of Java for a while; more the language than the platform (JEE). I think that the JEE platform will continue to evolve over the coming years, more likely into a series of specific vertical solutions. But this entry isn't about the platform, it's about the language.
Although I've been using Java since it was known as Oak and have written a fair amount with it (for example, I wrote the first ever Java transaction implementation over Christimas 1996), it's never been my favourite programming language. There are some things that I liked about the language from the start, such as threading, but others, such as garbage collection (yes, I like the control of a good delete) and lack of multiple inheritance, that I didn't. The Java language has certainly evolved over the past decade, mostly for the better (garbage collection is a lot better now and we have templates), but in general the language still takes a lowest common denominator approach. And it has got rather bloated.
Ignoring several assembly languages, over the years I've learnt many high level languages including Pascal, Mesa, Smalltalk-80, Lisp, Prolog, C/C++, Simula, D, Forth and of course Java. My favourite is still C++ though. Yes I know it has its flaws and yes I know it's not the most forgiving of languages. I can't quite put my finger on precisely why I still prefer C++. I remember when we were testing the first pre-releases of Cfront for AT&T back in the mid 1980's and wondering along with Graeme and Stuart as to whether we could port it to our Atari's using Metacomco C. I seem to recall us making some progress, but Linux came on the scene bringing with it gcc. But none of this explains why I prefer C++. Maybe it's the level of direct control it gives you (as with C). Or maybe it's something else. Whatever, I'm sure it's all subjective.
Anyway, I digress. Where does this leave Java? Well I think if you look back over the past 40+ years of high level programming languages one thing is very obvious: change happens. Our ability to reason about complex algorithms and the best way of putting them into code evolves, whether it's declarative, procedural, object-oriented or something else. I think it's fairly clear that Java's dominance in the industry will wane. Yes it'll be legacy for many years to come; the 21st Century COBOL, so it will continue to be important. But something new is coming. Maybe not today and maybe not tomorrow. But it's coming nonetheless.
Totally agree with you about the language and also about the JEE platform.
ReplyDeleteI think JVM could have a longer life than the language itself. And there is some good language candidate to substitute java, at least for a transitional period, keeping JVM as compilation target. We can't loose years of library and frameworks development, and keeping JVM as running environment will help a lot in this sense.
Needless to say my preferred candidate for the throne is SCALA.